Merida AD 2-1 Sevilla II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 6 Apr 2025

📅06/04/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.12
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
31%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5 OUR CALL
62%
1.6
Over 2.5
38%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.96
No
57%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
36%
2.4
2-3 Goals
38%
1.74
4-5 Goals
18%
4.54
6+ Goals
8%
25.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.4 — our 36% vs market 34.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
15%
X/X
18%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 62%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
43%
-3.8pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.6pp
30%
Away Win
28%
+2.2pp
62%
Under 2.5
59%
+3.7pp
38%
Over 2.5
41%
-3.7pp
43%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.9pp
57%
BTTS No
53%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Merida AD EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Sevilla II EU Bookmakers 32%
+10% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.64/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.39
+19% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -18%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
264 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Merida AD
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Sevilla II
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
60% Ball Possession 40%
6 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.01.2025 Sevilla II Sevilla II 1-0 HT 0-0 Merida AD Merida AD İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Merida AD
2-1
AWAY Sevilla II
41% Ball Possession 59%
5 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 8
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Merida AD vs Sevilla II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Merida AD edged past Sevilla II 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 30% / 30% — and on the day Merida AD made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Merida AD had 41% of the ball to Sevilla II's 59%, shots finished 5-9.

What was the final score of Merida AD vs Sevilla II?

Merida AD 2-1 Sevilla II in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Merida AD vs Sevilla II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Merida AD win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Merida AD 39%, draw 30%, Sevilla II 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Merida AD) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Merida AD) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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