Real Betis II 1-2 Real Murcia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 6 Apr 2025

📅06/04/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.53
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
41%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5 OUR CALL
55%
1.6
Over 2.5
45%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.95
No
53%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.41
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
4.54
6+ Goals
9%
25.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
18%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
36%
-4.6pp
28%
Draw
30%
-1.8pp
41%
Away Win
35%
+6.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
59%
-3.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
41%
+3.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.2pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Betis II EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Murcia EU Bookmakers 38%
-2% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
1.57/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/0.81
+35% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / +29%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
328 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Betis II
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Real Murcia
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
50% Ball Possession 50%
7 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 5
29.09.2024 Real Murcia Real Murcia 0-1 HT 0-0 Real Betis II Real Betis II İS3
23.01.2021 Real Murcia Real Murcia 0-2 HT 0-1 Real Betis II Real Betis II İS3
25.11.2020 Real Betis II Real Betis II 2-1 HT 1-0 Real Murcia Real Murcia İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Betis II
1-2
AWAY Real Murcia
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Real Betis II vs Real Murcia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Murcia edged past Real Betis II 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Real Murcia as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Real Betis II had 57% of the ball to Real Murcia's 43%, shots finished 17-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Real Betis II had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Real Betis II and 0.33 for Real Murcia.

What was the final score of Real Betis II vs Real Murcia?

Real Betis II 1-2 Real Murcia in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Betis II vs Real Murcia?

Before kick-off our model rated an Real Murcia win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Real Betis II 31%, draw 28%, Real Murcia 41%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Murcia) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Real Murcia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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