Deportivo Alaves II 1-0 Barbastro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 6 Apr 2025

📅06/04/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.86
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
31%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
Over 2.5
44%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.27
No OUR CALL
58%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS No — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
50%
-6.5pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.8pp
31%
Away Win
23%
+8.3pp
42%
BTTS Yes
40%
+2.2pp
58%
BTTS No
60%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Alaves II EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Barbastro EU Bookmakers 26%
-9% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.12/0.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.31
-20% / +55% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -8%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
253 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 202 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 6.0
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Alaves II
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Barbastro
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
24.11.2024 Barbastro Barbastro 0-1 HT 0-1 Deportivo Alaves II Deportivo Alaves II İS4
25.02.2024 Deportivo Alaves II Deportivo Alaves II 1-1 HT 0-0 Barbastro Barbastro İS4
15.10.2023 Barbastro Barbastro 3-2 HT 1-1 Deportivo Alaves II Deportivo Alaves II İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Alaves II
1-0
AWAY Barbastro
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Deportivo Alaves II vs Barbastro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Alaves II squeezed past Barbastro 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Deportivo Alaves II as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Deportivo Alaves II had 49% of the ball to Barbastro's 51%, shots finished 11-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Deportivo Alaves II and 1.33 for Barbastro.

What was the final score of Deportivo Alaves II vs Barbastro?

Deportivo Alaves II 1-0 Barbastro in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Alaves II vs Barbastro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Alaves II win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Alaves II 43%, draw 25%, Barbastro 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo Alaves II), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo Alaves II) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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