Deportivo Alaves II 1-1 Barbastro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 25 Feb 2024

📅25/02/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.61
Draw
31%
3.54
Away
20%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5 OUR CALL
60%
1.54
Over 2.5
40%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.4
No
56%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
58%
-9.4pp
31%
Draw
25%
+5.9pp
20%
Away Win
17%
+3.5pp
60%
Under 2.5
61%
-1.5pp
40%
Over 2.5
39%
+1.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
38%
+6.2pp
56%
BTTS No
62%
-6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Alaves II EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Barbastro EU Bookmakers 20%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
1.24/0.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.51/1.26
+6% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +135%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
329 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
17.0 Crosses 6.0
2.9 Yellow Cards 3.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Alaves II
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Barbastro
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 3
15.10.2023 Barbastro Barbastro 3-2 HT 1-1 Deportivo Alaves II Deportivo Alaves II İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Alaves II
1-1
AWAY Barbastro
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Deportivo Alaves II vs Barbastro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Alaves II and Barbastro shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Deportivo Alaves II at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (60%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Deportivo Alaves II had 54% of the ball to Barbastro's 46%, shots finished 14-13.

What was the final score of Deportivo Alaves II vs Barbastro?

Deportivo Alaves II 1-1 Barbastro in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Alaves II vs Barbastro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Alaves II win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Alaves II 49%, draw 31%, Barbastro 20%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Deportivo Alaves II), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo Alaves II) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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