Barbastro 0-1 Deportivo Alaves II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 24 Nov 2024

📅24/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.33
Draw
28%
2.88
Away
31%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5 OUR CALL
61%
1.45
Over 2.5
39%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.16
No
56%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 61%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
39%
+1.9pp
28%
Draw
31%
-3.1pp
31%
Away Win
30%
+1.2pp
61%
Under 2.5
65%
-4.4pp
39%
Over 2.5
35%
+4.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
42%
+2.3pp
56%
BTTS No
58%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barbastro EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Alaves II EU Bookmakers 33%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
0.75/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.33
-38% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -17%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
350 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barbastro
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Deportivo Alaves II
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
25.02.2024 Deportivo Alaves II Deportivo Alaves II 1-1 HT 0-0 Barbastro Barbastro İS4
15.10.2023 Barbastro Barbastro 3-2 HT 1-1 Deportivo Alaves II Deportivo Alaves II İS4
POST-MATCH Barbastro vs Deportivo Alaves II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Alaves II edged past Barbastro 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Barbastro at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Barbastro had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Barbastro and 1.50 for Deportivo Alaves II.

What was the final score of Barbastro vs Deportivo Alaves II?

Barbastro 0-1 Deportivo Alaves II in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 24/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barbastro vs Deportivo Alaves II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Barbastro win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Barbastro 41%, draw 28%, Deportivo Alaves II 31%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Barbastro) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Barbastro) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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