Marino De Luanco 0-2 Real Aviles — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 6 Apr 2025

📅06/04/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.47
Draw
27%
2.88
Away
32%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.56
Over 2.5
38%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.09
No
58%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
37%
+4.2pp
27%
Draw
31%
-3.8pp
32%
Away Win
32%
-0.4pp
62%
Under 2.5
60%
+1.3pp
38%
Over 2.5
40%
-1.3pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.4pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Marino De Luanco EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Aviles EU Bookmakers 36%
-4% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +3%
0.72/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/0.96
-36% / +63% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +15%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
326 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Marino De Luanco
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Real Aviles
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 4
24.11.2024 Real Aviles Real Aviles 1-0 HT 1-0 Marino De Luanco Marino De Luanco İS4
07.04.2024 Real Aviles Real Aviles 1-1 HT 0-0 Marino De Luanco Marino De Luanco İS4
26.11.2023 Marino De Luanco Marino De Luanco 0-0 HT 0-0 Real Aviles Real Aviles İS4
02.04.2023 Marino De Luanco Marino De Luanco 0-2 HT 0-1 Real Aviles Real Aviles İS4
20.11.2022 Real Aviles Real Aviles 1-0 HT 1-0 Marino De Luanco Marino De Luanco İS4
22.01.2022 Marino De Luanco Marino De Luanco 0-0 HT 0-0 Real Aviles Real Aviles İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Marino De Luanco
0-2
AWAY Real Aviles
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
7 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Marino De Luanco vs Real Aviles
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Aviles saw off Marino De Luanco 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Marino De Luanco at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Marino De Luanco had 47% of the ball to Real Aviles's 53%, shots finished 7-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Aviles led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Marino De Luanco and 0.83 for Real Aviles.

What was the final score of Marino De Luanco vs Real Aviles?

Marino De Luanco 0-2 Real Aviles in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Marino De Luanco vs Real Aviles?

Before kick-off our model rated a Marino De Luanco win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Marino De Luanco 41%, draw 27%, Real Aviles 32%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Marino De Luanco) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Marino De Luanco) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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