Real Aviles 1-0 Marino De Luanco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 24 Nov 2024

📅24/11/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.0
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
28%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.45
Over 2.5
47%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.33
No
53%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
13%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
46%
-0.9pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.3pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+3.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
65%
-12.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
35%
+12.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
39%
+8.3pp
53%
BTTS No
61%
-8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Aviles EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Marino De Luanco EU Bookmakers 28%
-3% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -7%
1.36/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.40
+5% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -14%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
352 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Aviles
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Marino De Luanco
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.04.2024 Real Aviles Real Aviles 1-1 HT 0-0 Marino De Luanco Marino De Luanco İS4
26.11.2023 Marino De Luanco Marino De Luanco 0-0 HT 0-0 Real Aviles Real Aviles İS4
02.04.2023 Marino De Luanco Marino De Luanco 0-2 HT 0-1 Real Aviles Real Aviles İS4
20.11.2022 Real Aviles Real Aviles 1-0 HT 1-0 Marino De Luanco Marino De Luanco İS4
22.01.2022 Marino De Luanco Marino De Luanco 0-0 HT 0-0 Real Aviles Real Aviles İS4
05.09.2021 Real Aviles Real Aviles 2-1 HT 0-0 Marino De Luanco Marino De Luanco İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Aviles
1-0
AWAY Marino De Luanco
44% Ball Possession 56%
7 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 16
8 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Real Aviles vs Marino De Luanco
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Aviles squeezed past Marino De Luanco 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Real Aviles as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Real Aviles had 44% of the ball to Marino De Luanco's 56%, shots finished 7-17.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Aviles had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Real Aviles and 0.33 for Marino De Luanco.

What was the final score of Real Aviles vs Marino De Luanco?

Real Aviles 1-0 Marino De Luanco in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 24/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Aviles vs Marino De Luanco?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Aviles win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Real Aviles 46%, draw 27%, Marino De Luanco 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Aviles), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Real Aviles) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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