Vaduz 2-1 Neuchatel Xamax — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland Challenge League, 6 Apr 2025

📅06/04/2025 · 🕒15:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.12
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
30%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.21
Over 2.5
47%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.53
No
50%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
4.27
2-3 Goals
39%
1.87
4-5 Goals
23%
2.82
6+ Goals
11%
8.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.27 — our 27% vs market 17.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
43%
-1.5pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.7pp
30%
Away Win
31%
-1.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
41%
+11.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
59%
-11.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
61%
-11.2pp
50%
BTTS No
39%
+11.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vaduz EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Neuchatel Xamax EU Bookmakers 34%
+1% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -10%
1.85/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.36
+27% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -14%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
354 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 76%
22.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.9
17.0 Crosses 21.4
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vaduz
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Neuchatel Xamax
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.33 xG 1.14
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
365 Passes 327
79% Pass Accuracy 78%
17 Box Touches 22
18 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 2
14.02.2025 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax 0-0 HT 0-0 Vaduz Vaduz İSV2
08.11.2024 Vaduz Vaduz 2-1 HT 1-0 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax İSV2
30.08.2024 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax 4-1 HT 1-1 Vaduz Vaduz İSV2
11.05.2024 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax 1-1 HT 1-0 Vaduz Vaduz İSV2
04.02.2024 Vaduz Vaduz 5-3 HT 3-0 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax İSV2
01.12.2023 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax 1-1 HT 0-0 Vaduz Vaduz İSV2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vaduz
2-1
AWAY Neuchatel Xamax
2.40 xG 2.52
65% Ball Possession 35%
14 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 1
518 Passes 241
85% Pass Accuracy 72%
29 Box Touches 19
20 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Vaduz vs Neuchatel Xamax
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vaduz nicked a narrow win over Neuchatel Xamax 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Vaduz as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Vaduz had 65% of the ball to Neuchatel Xamax's 35%, shots finished 14-11, expected goals 2.40 to 2.52.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vaduz had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Vaduz and 1.67 for Neuchatel Xamax.

What was the final score of Vaduz vs Neuchatel Xamax?

Vaduz 2-1 Neuchatel Xamax in the Switzerland Challenge League on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vaduz vs Neuchatel Xamax?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vaduz win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Vaduz 42%, draw 28%, Neuchatel Xamax 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vaduz) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Vaduz) ✗ Under 2.5
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