Renate 0-1 Triestina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 6 Apr 2025

📅06/04/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.94
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
36%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.54
Over 2.5
40%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.06
No
53%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.22
2-3 Goals
41%
1.75
4-5 Goals
19%
5.07
6+ Goals
8%
31.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
9%
1/X
12%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
30%
+2.6pp
31%
Draw
29%
+2.0pp
36%
Away Win
41%
-4.7pp
60%
Under 2.5
61%
-1.4pp
40%
Over 2.5
39%
+1.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.2pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Renate EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Triestina EU Bookmakers 45%
+2% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -11%
0.84/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.06
-24% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +1%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
292 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Renate
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Triestina
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
22.11.2024 Triestina Triestina 0-1 HT 0-0 Renate Renate İTC
13.02.2024 Triestina Triestina 1-3 HT 1-1 Renate Renate İTC
07.11.2023 Triestina Triestina 4-0 Renate Renate İTCK
07.10.2023 Renate Renate 1-1 HT 1-0 Triestina Triestina İTC
15.03.2023 Renate Renate 1-4 HT 1-2 Triestina Triestina İTC
12.11.2022 Triestina Triestina 1-1 HT 1-0 Renate Renate İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Renate
0-1
AWAY Triestina
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Renate vs Triestina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Triestina nicked a narrow win over Renate 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (33% / 31% / 36%) promised a tight game; Triestina found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Renate had 49% of the ball to Triestina's 51%, shots finished 8-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Renate and 1.83 for Triestina.

What was the final score of Renate vs Triestina?

Renate 0-1 Triestina in the Italy - Serie C on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Renate vs Triestina?

Before kick-off our model rated an Triestina win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Renate 33%, draw 31%, Triestina 36%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Triestina), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Triestina) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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