Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 3-2 Slavia Sofia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 6 Apr 2025

📅06/04/2025 · 🕒14:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.57
Draw
33%
2.88
Away
34%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.62
Over 2.5
43%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.88
No
51%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
13%
X/1
14%
X/2
16%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
35%
-2.8pp
33%
Draw
31%
+2.2pp
34%
Away Win
34%
+0.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
58%
-0.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
42%
+0.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.0pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
+0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Slavia Sofia EU Bookmakers 37%
-22% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -23% / -32%
0.53/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.66/1.50
-53% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -52% / -35%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
312 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 395 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lokomotiv Sofia 1929
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Slavia Sofia
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
39% Ball Possession 61%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
24.10.2024 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia 3-2 HT 3-1 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 BUL1
09.03.2024 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 1-2 HT 1-0 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia BUL1
16.09.2023 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia 1-2 HT 0-1 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 BUL1
06.06.2023 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia 2-0 HT 0-0 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 BUL1
23.05.2023 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 1-1 HT 1-0 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia BUL1
17.03.2023 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 1-0 HT 0-0 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lokomotiv Sofia 1929
3-2
AWAY Slavia Sofia
32% Ball Possession 68%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 vs Slavia Sofia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 edged past Slavia Sofia 3-2. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 33% / 34% — and on the day Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 had 32% of the ball to Slavia Sofia's 68%, shots finished 10-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Slavia Sofia led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 and 1.50 for Slavia Sofia.

What was the final score of Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 vs Slavia Sofia?

Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 3-2 Slavia Sofia in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 vs Slavia Sofia?

Before kick-off our model rated an Slavia Sofia win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 33%, draw 33%, Slavia Sofia 34%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Slavia Sofia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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