PFC Beroe 0-1 Levski Sofia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 6 Apr 2025

📅06/04/2025 · 🕒17:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
4.65
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
48%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.64
Over 2.5
39%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.13
No
57%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
21%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
22%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
19%
+7.4pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.0pp
47%
Away Win
56%
-8.5pp
61%
Under 2.5
57%
+3.9pp
39%
Over 2.5
43%
-3.9pp
43%
BTTS Yes
43%
+0.3pp
57%
BTTS No
57%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PFC Beroe EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Levski Sofia EU Bookmakers 60%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
0.75/1.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/0.36
-19% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +150%
39% Ball Possession 61%
7 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 7
171 · 63% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 445 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PFC Beroe
3W-0D-2L
AWAY Levski Sofia
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
34% Ball Possession 66%
5 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 2
25.10.2024 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 0-2 HT 0-0 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe BUL1
20.04.2024 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 1-0 HT 0-0 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe BUL1
27.10.2023 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe 2-1 HT 1-1 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia BUL1
23.04.2023 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 1-0 HT 0-0 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe BUL1
06.07.2014 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 0-3 HT 0-2 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PFC Beroe
0-1
AWAY Levski Sofia
42% Ball Possession 58%
6 Total Shots 11
0 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH PFC Beroe vs Levski Sofia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Levski Sofia nicked a narrow win over PFC Beroe 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Levski Sofia as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, PFC Beroe had 42% of the ball to Levski Sofia's 58%, shots finished 6-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, PFC Beroe had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for PFC Beroe and 0.60 for Levski Sofia.

What was the final score of PFC Beroe vs Levski Sofia?

PFC Beroe 0-1 Levski Sofia in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PFC Beroe vs Levski Sofia?

Before kick-off our model rated an Levski Sofia win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split PFC Beroe 26%, draw 26%, Levski Sofia 47%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Levski Sofia), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Levski Sofia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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