Levski Sofia 0-2 PFC Beroe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 25 Oct 2024

📅25/10/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.37
Draw
26%
4.19
Away
17%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.71
Over 2.5
51%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.51
No
53%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
69%
-11.7pp
26%
Draw
21%
+5.5pp
17%
Away Win
11%
+6.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
55%
-5.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
45%
+5.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
36%
+10.8pp
54%
BTTS No
64%
-10.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Levski Sofia EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY PFC Beroe EU Bookmakers 14%
+7% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +4%
1.90/0.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.43/1.59
-6% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / +21%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
454 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Levski Sofia
2W-0D-2L
AWAY PFC Beroe
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
69% Ball Possession 31%
16 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 0
2 Yellow Cards 5
20.04.2024 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 1-0 HT 0-0 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe BUL1
27.10.2023 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe 2-1 HT 1-1 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia BUL1
23.04.2023 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 1-0 HT 0-0 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe BUL1
06.07.2014 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 0-3 HT 0-2 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Levski Sofia
0-2
AWAY PFC Beroe
59% Ball Possession 41%
23 Total Shots 6
9 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Levski Sofia vs PFC Beroe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PFC Beroe beat Levski Sofia 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

This one beat our numbers. Levski Sofia carried 57% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Levski Sofia had 59% of the ball to PFC Beroe's 41%, shots finished 23-6.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Levski Sofia and 1.25 for PFC Beroe.

What was the final score of Levski Sofia vs PFC Beroe?

Levski Sofia 0-2 PFC Beroe in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 25/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Levski Sofia vs PFC Beroe?

Before kick-off our model rated a Levski Sofia win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Levski Sofia 57%, draw 26%, PFC Beroe 17%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Levski Sofia), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Levski Sofia) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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