Vejle 1-1 Aalborg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - Süperlig, 6 Apr 2025

📅06/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.12
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
34%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.95
Over 2.5
55%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.66
No
39%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
3.65
2-3 Goals
42%
1.86
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
25%
3.45
6+ Goals
13%
12.6
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.45 — our 25% vs market 24.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
3.14
1/2
12%
31.0
1/X
11%
13.35
X/1
18%
5.14
X/2
7%
6.52
X/X
10%
5.04
2/1
9%
25.0
2/2
16%
4.52
2/X
6%
13.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
43%
-5.0pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.9pp
34%
Away Win
31%
+3.2pp
45%
Under 2.5
48%
-3.0pp
55%
Over 2.5
52%
+3.0pp
61%
BTTS Yes
56%
+4.9pp
39%
BTTS No
44%
-4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vejle EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Aalborg EU Bookmakers 34%
-4% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +3%
1.33/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/1.41
-9% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +5%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
340 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 76%
20.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.8
18.1 Crosses 20.2
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vejle
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Aalborg
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.70 xG 1.72
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
274 Passes 368
73% Pass Accuracy 78%
17 Box Touches 28
16 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.11.2024 Aalborg Aalborg 3-3 HT 0-1 Vejle Vejle DAN
04.10.2024 Vejle Vejle 2-2 HT 1-0 Aalborg Aalborg DAN
06.03.2022 Aalborg Aalborg 0-0 HT 0-0 Vejle Vejle DAN
16.08.2021 Vejle Vejle 0-1 HT 0-1 Aalborg Aalborg DAN
19.05.2021 Aalborg Aalborg 2-1 HT 0-1 Vejle Vejle DAN
16.04.2021 Vejle Vejle 1-1 HT 0-1 Aalborg Aalborg DAN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vejle
1-1
AWAY Aalborg
0.62 xG 1.66
60% Ball Possession 40%
12 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
448 Passes 269
86% Pass Accuracy 79%
22 Box Touches 29
22 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Vejle vs Aalborg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vejle and Aalborg shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match split (38% / 27% / 34%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, both teams to score (61%) landed while over 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

On the day, Vejle had 60% of the ball to Aalborg's 40%, shots finished 12-12, expected goals 0.62 to 1.66.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aalborg led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Vejle and 1.50 for Aalborg.

What was the final score of Vejle vs Aalborg?

Vejle 1-1 Aalborg in the Denmark - Süperlig on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vejle vs Aalborg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vejle win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Vejle 38%, draw 27%, Aalborg 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Vejle), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Vejle) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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