FC Nordsjaelland 0-1 Kopenhag — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - Süperlig, 6 Apr 2025

📅06/04/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.84
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
40%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
1.97
Over 2.5
57%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.66
No
46%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.71
2-3 Goals
39%
1.87
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
28%
3.41
6+ Goals
11%
12.2
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.41 — our 28% vs market 24.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.65
1/2
7%
25.0
1/X
6%
13.3
X/1
12%
6.76
X/2
13%
5.2
X/X
11%
4.93
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
31.0
2/2
21%
3.1
2/X
6%
12.8
Value flag · 2/1 at 31.0 — our 9% vs market 1.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
32%
+4.8pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.9pp
40%
Away Win
42%
-2.0pp
43%
Under 2.5
47%
-3.4pp
57%
Over 2.5
53%
+3.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.0pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Nordsjaelland EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Kopenhag EU Bookmakers 46%
+6% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +12%
1.63/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.57/1.46
+41% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +6%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
357 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 77%
27.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.2
14.2 Crosses 15.3
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Nordsjaelland
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Kopenhag
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.30 xG 1.46
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 3
557 Passes 355
89% Pass Accuracy 84%
34 Box Touches 21
17 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.12.2024 Kopenhag Kopenhag 3-1 HT 1-1 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland DAN
25.08.2024 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland 3-2 HT 3-0 Kopenhag Kopenhag DAN
26.05.2024 Kopenhag Kopenhag 1-1 HT 1-0 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland DAN
07.04.2024 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland 2-1 HT 2-0 Kopenhag Kopenhag DAN
26.02.2024 Kopenhag Kopenhag 2-0 HT 1-0 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland DAN
16.09.2023 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland 2-2 HT 1-1 Kopenhag Kopenhag DAN
POST-MATCH FC Nordsjaelland vs Kopenhag
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kopenhag squeezed past FC Nordsjaelland 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 23% / 40% — and on the day Kopenhag made the difference. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for FC Nordsjaelland and 1.83 for Kopenhag.

What was the final score of FC Nordsjaelland vs Kopenhag?

FC Nordsjaelland 0-1 Kopenhag in the Denmark - Süperlig on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Nordsjaelland vs Kopenhag?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kopenhag win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split FC Nordsjaelland 36%, draw 23%, Kopenhag 40%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kopenhag) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kopenhag) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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