Reims 0-1 RC Strasbourg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 6 Apr 2025

📅06/04/2025 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.08
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
42%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.9
Over 2.5
49%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.73
No OUR CALL
53%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.26
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
22%
3.49
6+ Goals
9%
13.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.26 — our 28% vs market 24.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
5.16
1/2
10%
25.0
1/X
7%
13.9
X/1
9%
7.07
X/2
15%
4.9
X/X
15%
4.77
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
17%
2.93
2/X
5%
13.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS No — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
29%
+2.8pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.3pp
42%
Away Win
45%
-3.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
49%
+1.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
51%
-1.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
54%
-6.4pp
53%
BTTS No
46%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Reims EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY RC Strasbourg EU Bookmakers 49%
+1% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.04/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.16
-23% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +12%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
298 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 411 · 83%
17.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.3
17.6 Crosses 16.5
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Reims
1W-3D-2L
AWAY RC Strasbourg
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.20 xG 1.25
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
400 Passes 346
83% Pass Accuracy 79%
20 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
08.12.2024 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg 0-0 HT 0-0 Reims Reims FR1
13.04.2024 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg 3-1 HT 1-1 Reims Reims FR1
01.12.2023 Reims Reims 2-1 HT 2-0 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg FR1
23.04.2023 Reims Reims 0-2 HT 0-2 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg FR1
21.08.2022 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg 1-1 HT 1-0 Reims Reims FR1
06.03.2022 Reims Reims 1-1 HT 0-0 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg FR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Reims
0-1
AWAY RC Strasbourg
1.39 xG 2.55
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
350 Passes 412
83% Pass Accuracy 87%
27 Box Touches 27
25 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Reims vs RC Strasbourg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

RC Strasbourg squeezed past Reims 1-0 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had RC Strasbourg as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Reims had 48% of the ball to RC Strasbourg's 52%, shots finished 14-13, expected goals 1.39 to 2.55.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, RC Strasbourg led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Reims and 1.33 for RC Strasbourg.

What was the final score of Reims vs RC Strasbourg?

Reims 0-1 RC Strasbourg in the France - Ligue 1 on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Reims vs RC Strasbourg?

Before kick-off our model rated an RC Strasbourg win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Reims 31%, draw 26%, RC Strasbourg 42%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (RC Strasbourg), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (RC Strasbourg) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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