Montpellier vs Le Havre Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Montpellier v Le Havre — Team-Based Signals
Montpellier vs Le Havre Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 0-1
Le Havre
FR1
0-0
HT 0-0
Le Havre
FR2
0-0
HT 0-0
Montpellier
FR2
2-1
HT 1-1
Le Havre
FR2
Montpellier 0-2 Le Havre — Actual Match Statistics
Le Havre got the better of Montpellier 2-0 away from home.
Our pre-match split (38% / 27% / 35%) promised a tight game; Le Havre found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Montpellier had 54% of the ball to Le Havre's 46%, shots finished 14-13, expected goals 1.02 to 1.37.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Montpellier had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Montpellier and 0.67 for Le Havre.
What was the final score of Montpellier vs Le Havre?
Montpellier 0-2 Le Havre in the France - Ligue 1 on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Montpellier vs Le Havre?
Before kick-off our model rated a Montpellier win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Montpellier 38%, draw 27%, Le Havre 35%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.