Rennes vs Auxerre Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Rennes v Auxerre — Team-Based Signals
Rennes vs Auxerre Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Rennes
FR1
5-0
HT 1-0
Auxerre
FR1
0-1
HT 0-1
Rennes
FRK
1-1
HT 0-1
Auxerre
FR1
0-1
HT 0-0
Rennes
FR1
Rennes 0-1 Auxerre — Actual Match Statistics
Auxerre squeezed past Rennes 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Rennes at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Rennes had 63% of the ball to Auxerre's 37%, shots finished 18-11, expected goals 1.21 to 0.83.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rennes had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Rennes and 0.83 for Auxerre.
What was the final score of Rennes vs Auxerre?
Rennes 0-1 Auxerre in the France - Ligue 1 on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Rennes vs Auxerre?
Before kick-off our model rated a Rennes win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Rennes 50%, draw 24%, Auxerre 26%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.