Gwangju 1-0 Jeju United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 6 Apr 2025

📅06/04/2025 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.05
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
30%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.6
Over 2.5
38%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.96
No
58%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
36%
2.57
2-3 Goals
39%
1.82
4-5 Goals
17%
4.84
6+ Goals
8%
27.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.57 — our 36% vs market 33.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.03
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
6%
14.1
X/1
14%
4.62
X/2
16%
7.0
X/X
16%
4.03
2/1
6%
30.0
2/2
8%
5.72
2/X
8%
14.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
45%
-4.9pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.4pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+3.5pp
62%
Under 2.5
59%
+3.8pp
38%
Over 2.5
41%
-3.8pp
42%
BTTS Yes
47%
-5.2pp
58%
BTTS No
53%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gwangju EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Jeju United EU Bookmakers 30%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -2%
1.00/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.77
-32% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -24%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
318 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 78%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
15.2 Crosses 17.8
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gwangju
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Jeju United
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
408 Passes 351
84% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
10.11.2024 Jeju United Jeju United 0-0 HT 0-0 Gwangju Gwangju GKOR
22.09.2024 Gwangju Gwangju 0-2 HT 0-0 Jeju United Jeju United GKOR
30.06.2024 Gwangju Gwangju 2-1 HT 1-1 Jeju United Jeju United GKOK
01.05.2024 Jeju United Jeju United 1-3 HT 0-1 Gwangju Gwangju GKOK
01.10.2023 Jeju United Jeju United 1-2 HT 0-0 Gwangju Gwangju GKOK
11.07.2023 Jeju United Jeju United 0-0 HT 0-0 Gwangju Gwangju GKOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gwangju
1-0
AWAY Jeju United
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 1
420 Passes 330
79% Pass Accuracy 76%
19 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Gwangju vs Jeju United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gwangju nicked a narrow win over Jeju United 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 30% / 30% — and on the day Gwangju made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Gwangju had 55% of the ball to Jeju United's 45%, shots finished 13-5.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gwangju had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Gwangju and 0.83 for Jeju United.

What was the final score of Gwangju vs Jeju United?

Gwangju 1-0 Jeju United in the South Kore - K League Classic on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gwangju vs Jeju United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gwangju win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Gwangju 40%, draw 30%, Jeju United 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gwangju), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gwangju) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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