Sparta Rotterdam 2-0 NEC Nijmegen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 6 Apr 2025

Sparta Rotterdam
2-0 HT 1-0
NEC Nijmegen
📅06/04/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Netherlands - Eredivisie – 2024/2025

Sparta Rotterdam vs NEC Nijmegen Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.8
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
29%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.9
Over 2.5
51%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.76
No
47%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.31
2-3 Goals
36%
1.79
4-5 Goals
25%
3.45
6+ Goals
11%
13.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
2.41
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
6%
13.9
X/1
21%
4.42
X/2
11%
8.64
X/X
15%
5.02
2/1
7%
23.75
2/2
12%
6.77
2/X
7%
15.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
52%
-8.4pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.4pp
29%
Away Win
23%
+6.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
49%
+0.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
51%
-0.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.1pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sparta Rotterdam v NEC Nijmegen — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sparta Rotterdam EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY NEC Nijmegen EU Bookmakers 26%
-3% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.52/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.57
-9% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +20%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
358 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 73%
24.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.9
21.3 Crosses 16.4
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.8

Sparta Rotterdam vs NEC Nijmegen Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sparta Rotterdam
1W-4D-1L
AWAY NEC Nijmegen
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.13 xG 1.28
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
270 Passes 403
75% Pass Accuracy 83%
21 Box Touches 29
20 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
15.12.2024 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 1-1 HT 0-0 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam HOL
24.02.2024 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 2-0 HT 2-0 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam HOL
01.09.2023 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 1-1 HT 0-0 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen HOL
28.01.2023 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 1-1 HT 0-0 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam HOL
16.10.2022 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 2-0 HT 2-0 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen HOL
19.03.2022 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 0-0 HT 0-0 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam HOL

Sparta Rotterdam 2-0 NEC Nijmegen — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sparta Rotterdam
2-0
AWAY NEC Nijmegen
0.66 xG 0.89
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 2
341 Passes 409
84% Pass Accuracy 83%
19 Box Touches 13
20 Crosses 19
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sparta Rotterdam vs NEC Nijmegen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sparta Rotterdam beat NEC Nijmegen 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Sparta Rotterdam as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Sparta Rotterdam had 45% of the ball to NEC Nijmegen's 55%, shots finished 12-9, expected goals 0.66 to 0.89.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Sparta Rotterdam and 0.83 for NEC Nijmegen.

What was the final score of Sparta Rotterdam vs NEC Nijmegen?

Sparta Rotterdam 2-0 NEC Nijmegen in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sparta Rotterdam vs NEC Nijmegen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sparta Rotterdam win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Sparta Rotterdam 43%, draw 27%, NEC Nijmegen 29%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sparta Rotterdam) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sparta Rotterdam) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HOL More Netherlands - Eredivisie
6 Apr 2025
13:15 RKC Waalwijk vs Heracles Analysis →
15:30 Go Ahead Eagles vs Utrecht Analysis →
17:45 Ajax vs NAC Breda Analysis →