Diriangen 2-4 Real Esteli — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 6 Apr 2025

📅06/04/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.57
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
37%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.82
Over 2.5
36%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
1.68
No
65%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
17%
X/X
18%
2/1
3%
2/2
14%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
35%
-1.0pp
28%
Draw
30%
-2.0pp
37%
Away Win
34%
+2.9pp
64%
Under 2.5
51%
+13.3pp
36%
Over 2.5
49%
-13.3pp
35%
BTTS Yes
56%
-20.7pp
65%
BTTS No
44%
+20.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Diriangen EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Esteli EU Bookmakers 38%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -2%
1.20/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/0.96
-17% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +47%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
292 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.5 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Diriangen
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Real Esteli
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
22.12.2024 Diriangen Diriangen 3-2 HT 2-2 Real Esteli Real Esteli NİK
19.12.2024 Real Esteli Real Esteli 1-1 Diriangen Diriangen NİK
15.09.2024 Diriangen Diriangen 1-0 HT 1-0 Real Esteli Real Esteli NİK
19.05.2024 Diriangen Diriangen 2-0 HT 1-0 Real Esteli Real Esteli NİK
19.02.2024 Diriangen Diriangen 1-0 HT 0-0 Real Esteli Real Esteli NİK
23.12.2023 Real Esteli Real Esteli 1-1 HT 1-0 Diriangen Diriangen NİK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Diriangen
2-4
AWAY Real Esteli
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 10
5 Corners 1
6 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Diriangen vs Real Esteli
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Esteli saw off Diriangen 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (34% / 28% / 37%) promised a tight game; Real Esteli found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (65%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Diriangen had 52% of the ball to Real Esteli's 48%, shots finished 14-15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Diriangen had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Diriangen and 0.67 for Real Esteli.

What was the final score of Diriangen vs Real Esteli?

Diriangen 2-4 Real Esteli in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Diriangen vs Real Esteli?

Before kick-off our model rated an Real Esteli win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Diriangen 34%, draw 28%, Real Esteli 37%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Esteli) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Real Esteli) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →