Bistrica 2-3 Triglav — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 2.SNL, 6 Apr 2025

📅06/04/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.8
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
39%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.8
Over 2.5
44%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.75
No
57%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
32%
+2.4pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.6pp
39%
Away Win
41%
-2.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.9pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.9pp
43%
BTTS Yes
53%
-10.2pp
57%
BTTS No
47%
+10.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bistrica EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Triglav EU Bookmakers 45%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.10/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/1.29
-10% / +59% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -10%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
248 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bistrica
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Triglav
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 2.20
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
21.09.2024 Triglav Triglav 3-1 HT 2-1 Bistrica Bistrica SLVN2
17.03.2024 Bistrica Bistrica 1-3 HT 0-1 Triglav Triglav SLVN2
03.09.2023 Triglav Triglav 2-1 HT 1-1 Bistrica Bistrica SLVN2
29.04.2023 Triglav Triglav 2-3 HT 0-1 Bistrica Bistrica SLVN2
15.10.2022 Bistrica Bistrica 1-1 HT 0-0 Triglav Triglav SLVN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bistrica
2-3
AWAY Triglav
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 6
0 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Bistrica vs Triglav
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Triglav edged past Bistrica 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 26% / 39% — and on the day Triglav made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Bistrica had 47% of the ball to Triglav's 53%, shots finished 9-10.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Triglav led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Bistrica and 2.20 for Triglav.

What was the final score of Bistrica vs Triglav?

Bistrica 2-3 Triglav in the Slovenia - 2.SNL on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bistrica vs Triglav?

Before kick-off our model rated an Triglav win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Bistrica 35%, draw 26%, Triglav 39%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Triglav) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Triglav) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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