Krka 1-3 Gorica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 2.SNL, 6 Apr 2025

Krka
1-3 HT 0-2
Gorica
📅06/04/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
3.75
Draw
32%
3.28
Away
48%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.6
Over 2.5
40%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.03
No
53%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
22%
X/X
20%
2/1
4%
2/2
22%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
23%
-3.2pp
32%
Draw
27%
+4.9pp
48%
Away Win
50%
-1.7pp
60%
Under 2.5
59%
+1.6pp
40%
Over 2.5
41%
-1.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
45%
+1.7pp
53%
BTTS No
55%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Krka EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Gorica EU Bookmakers 54%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -11%
1.27/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/0.76
+23% / +64% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +28%
42% Ball Possession 58%
7 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
194 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 448 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Krka
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Gorica
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
46% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.09.2024 Gorica Gorica 1-0 HT 0-0 Krka Krka SLVN2
22.03.2024 Gorica Gorica 2-0 HT 1-0 Krka Krka SLVN2
08.09.2023 Krka Krka 1-2 HT 0-0 Gorica Gorica SLVN2
27.03.2022 Krka Krka 2-2 HT 1-1 Gorica Gorica SLVN2
06.12.2015 Krka Krka 1-0 HT 0-0 Gorica Gorica SLVN
27.09.2015 Gorica Gorica 2-0 HT 0-0 Krka Krka SLVN
POST-MATCH Krka vs Gorica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gorica got the better of Krka 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Gorica as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gorica led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Krka and 1.50 for Gorica.

What was the final score of Krka vs Gorica?

Krka 1-3 Gorica in the Slovenia - 2.SNL on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Krka vs Gorica?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gorica win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Krka 20%, draw 32%, Gorica 48%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gorica) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gorica) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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