Erbaaspor 3-0 Giresunspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup, 6 Apr 2025

📅06/04/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home OUR CALL
62%
1.27
Draw
23%
5.28
Away
15%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
Over 2.5
51%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
No
50%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
23%
X/2
3%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Erbaaspor win — 62%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
74%
-12.7pp
23%
Draw
16%
+6.6pp
16%
Away Win
10%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Erbaaspor EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY Giresunspor EU Bookmakers 12%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.70/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.61/2.64
-21% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -24%
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
404 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 236 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Erbaaspor
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Giresunspor
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
18 Total Shots 9
11 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 1
24.11.2024 Giresunspor Giresunspor 0-3 HT 0-2 Erbaaspor Erbaaspor T2L-K
POST-MATCH Erbaaspor vs Giresunspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Erbaaspor ran out comfortable winners over Giresunspor 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Erbaaspor as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

What was the final score of Erbaaspor vs Giresunspor?

Erbaaspor 3-0 Giresunspor in the Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Erbaaspor vs Giresunspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Erbaaspor win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Erbaaspor 62%, draw 23%, Giresunspor 16%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Erbaaspor), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Erbaaspor) ✓ Over 2.5
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