Marine vs Chorley Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Marine v Chorley — Team-Based Signals
Marine vs Chorley Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
Marine 2-1 Chorley — Actual Match Statistics
Marine squeezed past Chorley 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.
Our pre-match lean was Chorley at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Marine had 52% of the ball to Chorley's 48%, shots finished 14-5.
Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Chorley led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Marine and 1.25 for Chorley.
What was the final score of Marine vs Chorley?
Marine 2-1 Chorley in the England - Conference on 06/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Marine vs Chorley?
Before kick-off our model rated an Chorley win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Marine 28%, draw 29%, Chorley 43%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Chorley), Under 2.5 went the other way.