Chorley vs Marine Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Chorley v Marine — Team-Based Signals
Chorley vs Marine Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
Chorley 2-1 Marine — Actual Match Statistics
Chorley nicked a narrow win over Marine 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Chorley as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Chorley had 60% of the ball to Marine's 40%, shots finished 16-10.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Chorley and 1.33 for Marine.
What was the final score of Chorley vs Marine?
Chorley 2-1 Marine in the England - Conference on 30/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Chorley vs Marine?
Before kick-off our model rated a Chorley win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Chorley 47%, draw 27%, Marine 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chorley) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.