AFC Hornchurch vs Maidstone United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
AFC Hornchurch v Maidstone United — Team-Based Signals
AFC Hornchurch vs Maidstone United Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
5-4
HT 2-2
Maidstone United
FAK
AFC Hornchurch 1-2 Maidstone United — Actual Match Statistics
Maidstone United edged past AFC Hornchurch 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (40% / 25% / 35%) promised a tight game; Maidstone United found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, AFC Hornchurch had 52% of the ball to Maidstone United's 48%, shots finished 9-14.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for AFC Hornchurch and 1.67 for Maidstone United.
What was the final score of AFC Hornchurch vs Maidstone United?
AFC Hornchurch 1-2 Maidstone United in the England - Conference on 30/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for AFC Hornchurch vs Maidstone United?
Before kick-off our model rated a AFC Hornchurch win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split AFC Hornchurch 40%, draw 25%, Maidstone United 35%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.