Dover Athletic 1-2 Ebbsfleet United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 30 Dec 2025

Dover Athletic
1-2 HT 0-1
Ebbsfleet United
📅30/12/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✓ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
England - Conference – 2025/2026

Dover Athletic vs Ebbsfleet United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
2.99
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
47%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.18
Over 2.5
57%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.55
No
38%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.16
2-3 Goals
40%
1.85
4-5 Goals
28%
2.86
6+ Goals
10%
8.43
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
27%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
30%
-2.7pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.6pp
47%
Away Win
45%
+2.2pp
43%
Under 2.5
42%
+1.4pp
57%
Over 2.5
58%
-1.4pp
62%
BTTS Yes
60%
+2.0pp
38%
BTTS No
40%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Dover Athletic v Ebbsfleet United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dover Athletic EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Ebbsfleet United EU Bookmakers 49%
-11% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -10%
1.24/1.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.75
-5% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -32%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
281 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 387 · 82%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.8

Dover Athletic vs Ebbsfleet United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dover Athletic
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Ebbsfleet United
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
14.01.2023 Dover Athletic Dover Athletic 1-2 HT 0-1 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United İCON
17.09.2022 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United 2-0 HT 1-0 Dover Athletic Dover Athletic FAK
29.08.2022 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United 3-0 HT 1-0 Dover Athletic Dover Athletic İCON
28.12.2019 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United 0-1 HT 0-1 Dover Athletic Dover Athletic İBSL
03.09.2019 Dover Athletic Dover Athletic 1-1 HT 0-1 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United İBSL
22.04.2019 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United 0-1 HT 0-0 Dover Athletic Dover Athletic İBSL

Dover Athletic 1-2 Ebbsfleet United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dover Athletic
1-2
AWAY Ebbsfleet United
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 8
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Dover Athletic vs Ebbsfleet United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ebbsfleet United nicked a narrow win over Dover Athletic 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Ebbsfleet United as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (62%) came in.

On the day, Dover Athletic had 49% of the ball to Ebbsfleet United's 51%, shots finished 12-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ebbsfleet United led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Dover Athletic and 1.33 for Ebbsfleet United.

What was the final score of Dover Athletic vs Ebbsfleet United?

Dover Athletic 1-2 Ebbsfleet United in the England - Conference on 30/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dover Athletic vs Ebbsfleet United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ebbsfleet United win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Dover Athletic 27%, draw 26%, Ebbsfleet United 47%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ebbsfleet United), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ebbsfleet United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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