Weston-super-Mare 1-0 Salisbury — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 30 Dec 2025

Weston-super-Mare
1-0 HT 1-0
Salisbury
📅30/12/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
England - Conference – 2025/2026

Weston-super-Mare vs Salisbury Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.75
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
26%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.86
Over 2.5
51%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.18
2-3 Goals
41%
1.75
4-5 Goals
23%
3.44
6+ Goals
8%
13.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.18 — our 28% vs market 24.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
53%
-1.4pp
22%
Draw
25%
-3.1pp
26%
Away Win
22%
+4.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
50%
-1.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
50%
+1.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.4pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Weston-super-Mare v Salisbury — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Weston-super-Mare EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Salisbury EU Bookmakers 25%
-21% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -7%
1.67/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.41
-6% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +16%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
314 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0

Weston-super-Mare vs Salisbury Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Weston-super-Mare
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Salisbury
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
11.02.2025 Weston-super-Mare Weston-super-Mare 1-2 HT 0-1 Salisbury Salisbury İCON
22.10.2024 Salisbury Salisbury 0-2 HT 0-0 Weston-super-Mare Weston-super-Mare İCON
22.04.2023 Salisbury Salisbury 1-1 HT 1-0 Weston-super-Mare Weston-super-Mare İNGNLP
05.11.2022 Weston-super-Mare Weston-super-Mare 3-1 HT 1-0 Salisbury Salisbury İNGNLP
22.01.2022 Salisbury Salisbury 0-0 HT 0-0 Weston-super-Mare Weston-super-Mare İNGNLP
16.10.2021 Weston-super-Mare Weston-super-Mare 1-3 HT 1-1 Salisbury Salisbury İNGNLP

Weston-super-Mare 1-0 Salisbury — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Weston-super-Mare
1-0
AWAY Salisbury
43% Ball Possession 57%
7 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Weston-super-Mare vs Salisbury
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Weston-super-Mare squeezed past Salisbury 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Weston-super-Mare as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Weston-super-Mare had 43% of the ball to Salisbury's 57%, shots finished 7-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Weston-super-Mare and 1.17 for Salisbury.

What was the final score of Weston-super-Mare vs Salisbury?

Weston-super-Mare 1-0 Salisbury in the England - Conference on 30/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Weston-super-Mare vs Salisbury?

Before kick-off our model rated a Weston-super-Mare win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Weston-super-Mare 52%, draw 22%, Salisbury 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Weston-super-Mare), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Weston-super-Mare) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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