Weston-super-Mare 1-2 Salisbury — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 11 Feb 2025

Weston-super-Mare
1-2 HT 0-1
Salisbury
📅11/02/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
England - Conference – 2024/2025

Weston-super-Mare vs Salisbury Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
1.9
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
39%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.75
Over 2.5
45%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.85
No
51%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.78
2-3 Goals
37%
1.72
4-5 Goals
22%
3.76
6+ Goals
9%
16.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.78 — our 32% vs market 28.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
8%
X/2
12%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
48%
-11.4pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.8pp
39%
Away Win
25%
+14.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
53%
+2.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
47%
-2.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
50%
-1.4pp
51%
BTTS No
50%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Weston-super-Mare v Salisbury — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Weston-super-Mare EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Salisbury EU Bookmakers 29%
-5% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.84/1.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.22
+14% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +20%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
310 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 196 · 66%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.6

Weston-super-Mare vs Salisbury Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Weston-super-Mare
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Salisbury
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
22.10.2024 Salisbury Salisbury 0-2 HT 0-0 Weston-super-Mare Weston-super-Mare İCON
22.04.2023 Salisbury Salisbury 1-1 HT 1-0 Weston-super-Mare Weston-super-Mare İNGNLP
05.11.2022 Weston-super-Mare Weston-super-Mare 3-1 HT 1-0 Salisbury Salisbury İNGNLP
22.01.2022 Salisbury Salisbury 0-0 HT 0-0 Weston-super-Mare Weston-super-Mare İNGNLP
16.10.2021 Weston-super-Mare Weston-super-Mare 1-3 HT 1-1 Salisbury Salisbury İNGNLP

Weston-super-Mare 1-2 Salisbury — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Weston-super-Mare
1-2
AWAY Salisbury
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Weston-super-Mare vs Salisbury
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Salisbury squeezed past Weston-super-Mare 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 24% / 39% — and on the day Salisbury made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Weston-super-Mare had 53% of the ball to Salisbury's 47%, shots finished 12-15.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Weston-super-Mare had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Weston-super-Mare and 1.00 for Salisbury.

What was the final score of Weston-super-Mare vs Salisbury?

Weston-super-Mare 1-2 Salisbury in the England - Conference on 11/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Weston-super-Mare vs Salisbury?

Before kick-off our model rated an Salisbury win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Weston-super-Mare 37%, draw 24%, Salisbury 39%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Salisbury) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Salisbury) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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