Salisbury 0-2 Weston-super-Mare — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 22 Oct 2024

📅22/10/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.8
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
38%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.95
Over 2.5
43%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.63
No
56%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
3.61
2-3 Goals
36%
1.81
4-5 Goals
23%
3.34
6+ Goals
8%
12.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.61 — our 33% vs market 22.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
22%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
32%
+2.9pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.6pp
38%
Away Win
41%
-3.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
48%
+9.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
52%
-9.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
57%
-13.1pp
56%
BTTS No
43%
+13.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Salisbury EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Weston-super-Mare EU Bookmakers 45%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.34/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.09
+4% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +19%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
266 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Salisbury
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Weston-super-Mare
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
22.04.2023 Salisbury Salisbury 1-1 HT 1-0 Weston-super-Mare Weston-super-Mare İNGNLP
05.11.2022 Weston-super-Mare Weston-super-Mare 3-1 HT 1-0 Salisbury Salisbury İNGNLP
22.01.2022 Salisbury Salisbury 0-0 HT 0-0 Weston-super-Mare Weston-super-Mare İNGNLP
16.10.2021 Weston-super-Mare Weston-super-Mare 1-3 HT 1-1 Salisbury Salisbury İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Salisbury
0-2
AWAY Weston-super-Mare
46% Ball Possession 54%
7 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Salisbury vs Weston-super-Mare
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Weston-super-Mare saw off Salisbury 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 27% / 38% — and on the day Weston-super-Mare made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Salisbury had 46% of the ball to Weston-super-Mare's 54%, shots finished 7-10.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Salisbury and 1.25 for Weston-super-Mare.

What was the final score of Salisbury vs Weston-super-Mare?

Salisbury 0-2 Weston-super-Mare in the England - Conference on 22/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Salisbury vs Weston-super-Mare?

Before kick-off our model rated an Weston-super-Mare win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Salisbury 35%, draw 27%, Weston-super-Mare 38%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Weston-super-Mare), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Weston-super-Mare) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İCON More England - Conference
22 Oct 2024
21:45 Oxford City vs Kings Lynn Town Analysis →
21:45 Torquay United vs Worthing Analysis →
21:45 Slough Town vs St. Albans City Analysis →
21:45 Welling United vs Enfield Town Analysis →
21:45 Tonbridge Angels vs Dorking Wanderers Analysis →
21:45 Hampton & Richmond vs Eastbourne Borough Analysis →