Horsham 2-2 Farnborough — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 30 Dec 2025

📅30/12/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.76
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
19%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.97
Over 2.5
52%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.73
No
44%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.5
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
24%
3.19
6+ Goals
9%
11.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
15%
X/2
5%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
52%
+1.0pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.5pp
19%
Away Win
24%
-4.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
47%
+0.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
53%
-0.8pp
56%
BTTS Yes
54%
+2.5pp
44%
BTTS No
46%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Horsham EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Farnborough EU Bookmakers 27%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -20%
0.80/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.77
-55% / +62% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -16%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
367 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Horsham
2-2
AWAY Farnborough
68% Ball Possession 32%
18 Total Shots 11
9 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Horsham vs Farnborough
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Horsham and Farnborough couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match lean was Horsham at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Horsham had 68% of the ball to Farnborough's 32%, shots finished 18-11.

What was the final score of Horsham vs Farnborough?

Horsham 2-2 Farnborough in the England - Conference on 30/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Horsham vs Farnborough?

Before kick-off our model rated a Horsham win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Horsham 54%, draw 27%, Farnborough 19%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Horsham) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Horsham) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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