Tonbridge Angels 3-4 Eastbourne Borough — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 30 Dec 2025

📅30/12/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.53
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
47%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.0
Over 2.5
60%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.61
No
36%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
3.62
2-3 Goals
37%
1.79
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
30%
3.11
6+ Goals
12%
10.55
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.11 — our 30% vs market 25.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
15%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
16%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
36%
-4.6pp
22%
Draw
26%
-3.6pp
47%
Away Win
39%
+8.2pp
40%
Under 2.5
46%
-6.2pp
60%
Over 2.5
54%
+6.2pp
64%
BTTS Yes
58%
+6.3pp
36%
BTTS No
42%
-6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tonbridge Angels EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Eastbourne Borough EU Bookmakers 43%
+1% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / +1%
1.35/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.30
+2% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +0%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
275 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tonbridge Angels
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Eastbourne Borough
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
39% Ball Possession 61%
7 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 1
01.02.2025 Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne Borough 2-1 HT 1-1 Tonbridge Angels Tonbridge Angels İCON
14.01.2025 Tonbridge Angels Tonbridge Angels 0-2 HT 0-1 Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne Borough İCON
02.03.2024 Tonbridge Angels Tonbridge Angels 2-0 HT 1-0 Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne Borough İCON
14.11.2023 Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne Borough 0-3 HT 0-1 Tonbridge Angels Tonbridge Angels İCON
07.03.2023 Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne Borough 1-2 HT 0-2 Tonbridge Angels Tonbridge Angels İCON
06.12.2022 Tonbridge Angels Tonbridge Angels 3-0 HT 1-0 Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne Borough İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tonbridge Angels
3-4
AWAY Eastbourne Borough
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 10
10 Shots on Target 7
9 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Tonbridge Angels vs Eastbourne Borough
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eastbourne Borough edged past Tonbridge Angels 4-3 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Eastbourne Borough as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (64%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Tonbridge Angels had 55% of the ball to Eastbourne Borough's 45%, shots finished 16-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tonbridge Angels had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Tonbridge Angels and 0.83 for Eastbourne Borough.

What was the final score of Tonbridge Angels vs Eastbourne Borough?

Tonbridge Angels 3-4 Eastbourne Borough in the England - Conference on 30/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tonbridge Angels vs Eastbourne Borough?

Before kick-off our model rated an Eastbourne Borough win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Tonbridge Angels 31%, draw 22%, Eastbourne Borough 47%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Eastbourne Borough), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Eastbourne Borough) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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