Casarano 2-1 Rossoblu Potenza — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 6 Apr 2026

📅06/04/2026 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.89
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
30%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.03
Over 2.5
46%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.66
No
51%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.63
2-3 Goals
39%
1.76
4-5 Goals
22%
3.01
6+ Goals
9%
9.92
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.63 — our 30% vs market 20.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
19%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
49%
-6.5pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.3pp
30%
Away Win
25%
+4.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
45%
+8.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
55%
-8.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.4pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Casarano EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Rossoblu Potenza EU Bookmakers 29%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -7%
1.79/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.50
+23% / +52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -16%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
356 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Casarano
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Rossoblu Potenza
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 9
7 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
30.11.2025 Rossoblu Potenza Rossoblu Potenza 3-1 HT 2-0 Casarano Casarano İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Casarano
2-1
AWAY Rossoblu Potenza
34% Ball Possession 66%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Casarano vs Rossoblu Potenza
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Casarano squeezed past Rossoblu Potenza 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Casarano as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Casarano had 34% of the ball to Rossoblu Potenza's 66%, shots finished 13-14.

What was the final score of Casarano vs Rossoblu Potenza?

Casarano 2-1 Rossoblu Potenza in the Italy - Serie C on 06/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Casarano vs Rossoblu Potenza?

Before kick-off our model rated a Casarano win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Casarano 43%, draw 28%, Rossoblu Potenza 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Casarano) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Casarano) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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