Pro Patria 1-1 Triestina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 6 Apr 2026

📅06/04/2026 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
41%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.75
Over 2.5
45%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.76
No
52%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
2.84
2-3 Goals
43%
1.7
4-5 Goals
18%
3.65
6+ Goals
9%
15.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.84 — our 30% vs market 27.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
14%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
33%
-2.6pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.1pp
41%
Away Win
38%
+2.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
53%
+1.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
47%
-1.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.9pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pro Patria EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Triestina EU Bookmakers 43%
-4% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -11%
1.09/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/0.98
-6% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +8%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
320 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 378 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pro Patria
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Triestina
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.11.2025 Triestina Triestina 2-1 HT 0-0 Pro Patria Pro Patria İTC
16.03.2025 Triestina Triestina 1-0 HT 0-0 Pro Patria Pro Patria İTC
03.11.2024 Pro Patria Pro Patria 0-0 HT 0-0 Triestina Triestina İTC
04.02.2024 Triestina Triestina 1-2 HT 0-1 Pro Patria Pro Patria İTC
24.09.2023 Pro Patria Pro Patria 0-3 HT 0-3 Triestina Triestina İTC
12.03.2023 Triestina Triestina 2-0 HT 1-0 Pro Patria Pro Patria İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pro Patria
1-1
AWAY Triestina
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 7
POST-MATCH Pro Patria vs Triestina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pro Patria and Triestina shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Triestina at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Pro Patria had 46% of the ball to Triestina's 54%, shots finished 13-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Triestina led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Pro Patria and 1.50 for Triestina.

What was the final score of Pro Patria vs Triestina?

Pro Patria 1-1 Triestina in the Italy - Serie C on 06/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pro Patria vs Triestina?

Before kick-off our model rated an Triestina win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Pro Patria 31%, draw 28%, Triestina 41%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Triestina), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Triestina) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTC More Italy - Serie C
6 Apr 2026
13:30 Sorrento Calcio vs Team Altamura Analysis →
13:30 SSC Giugliano vs Crotone Analysis →
15:30 GIANA Erminio vs Dolomiti Bellunesi Analysis →
15:30 Casarano vs Rossoblu Potenza Analysis →
15:30 Salernitana vs Benevento Analysis →
15:30 Catania vs Picerno Analysis →