Salernitana 0-1 Benevento — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 6 Apr 2026

📅06/04/2026 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
2.99
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
48%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.74
Over 2.5
49%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.81
No
48%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
17%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
24%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
30%
-3.3pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.5pp
48%
Away Win
43%
+4.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
54%
-2.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
46%
+2.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.3pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Salernitana EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Benevento EU Bookmakers 48%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -12%
0.10/0.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.64/1.14
-91% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -12%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
334 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Salernitana
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Benevento
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
0.78 xG 1.38
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
302 Passes 313
79% Pass Accuracy 79%
12 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
01.12.2025 Benevento Benevento 5-1 HT 3-1 Salernitana Salernitana İTC
02.02.2020 Benevento Benevento 1-1 HT 0-0 Salernitana Salernitana İTB
16.09.2019 Salernitana Salernitana 0-2 HT 0-0 Benevento Benevento İTB
08.02.2019 Salernitana Salernitana 0-1 HT 0-0 Benevento Benevento İTB
21.09.2018 Benevento Benevento 4-0 HT 1-0 Salernitana Salernitana İTB
05.03.2017 Benevento Benevento 1-1 HT 0-1 Salernitana Salernitana İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Salernitana
0-1
AWAY Benevento
39% Ball Possession 61%
5 Total Shots 16
1 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Salernitana vs Benevento
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Benevento nicked a narrow win over Salernitana 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Benevento as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Salernitana had 39% of the ball to Benevento's 61%, shots finished 5-16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Benevento led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Salernitana and 2.33 for Benevento.

What was the final score of Salernitana vs Benevento?

Salernitana 0-1 Benevento in the Italy - Serie C on 06/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Salernitana vs Benevento?

Before kick-off our model rated an Benevento win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Salernitana 26%, draw 26%, Benevento 48%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Benevento), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Benevento) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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