Catania 1-2 Picerno — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 6 Apr 2026

📅06/04/2026 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.33
Draw
25%
4.49
Away
11%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.78
Over 2.5
45%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.51
No
56%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
17%
X/2
3%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
70%
-6.3pp
24%
Draw
19%
+5.5pp
11%
Away Win
11%
+0.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
36%
+8.2pp
56%
BTTS No
64%
-8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Catania EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Picerno EU Bookmakers 14%
-11% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -9%
1.69/0.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.56/1.89
-6% / +70% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / -11%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
462 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 242 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Catania
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Picerno
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.11.2025 Picerno Picerno 0-1 HT 0-1 Catania Catania İTC
19.01.2025 Picerno Picerno 1-1 HT 0-0 Catania Catania İTC
14.09.2024 Catania Catania 0-0 HT 0-0 Picerno Picerno İTC
06.02.2024 Picerno Picerno 1-0 HT 1-0 Catania Catania İTC
08.11.2023 Catania Catania 3-2 HT 2-0 Picerno Picerno İTCK
17.09.2023 Catania Catania 2-0 HT 1-0 Picerno Picerno İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Catania
1-2
AWAY Picerno
62% Ball Possession 38%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Catania vs Picerno
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Picerno nicked a narrow win over Catania 2-1 away from home.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Catania at 64% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Catania had 62% of the ball to Picerno's 38%, shots finished 14-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Catania had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Catania and 0.67 for Picerno.

What was the final score of Catania vs Picerno?

Catania 1-2 Picerno in the Italy - Serie C on 06/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Catania vs Picerno?

Before kick-off our model rated a Catania win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Catania 64%, draw 24%, Picerno 11%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Catania) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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