Triestina 1-0 Pro Patria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 16 Mar 2025

📅16/03/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.64
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
21%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.6
Over 2.5
41%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.16
No
55%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.41
2-3 Goals
42%
1.72
4-5 Goals
19%
4.39
6+ Goals
8%
23.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
57%
-6.3pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.7pp
21%
Away Win
18%
+3.7pp
59%
Under 2.5
59%
+0.5pp
41%
Over 2.5
41%
-0.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
42%
+3.4pp
55%
BTTS No
58%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Triestina EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Pro Patria EU Bookmakers 21%
-17% / -28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / -2%
1.29/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.18
-19% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +26%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
346 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Triestina
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Pro Patria
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
03.11.2024 Pro Patria Pro Patria 0-0 HT 0-0 Triestina Triestina İTC
04.02.2024 Triestina Triestina 1-2 HT 0-1 Pro Patria Pro Patria İTC
24.09.2023 Pro Patria Pro Patria 0-3 HT 0-3 Triestina Triestina İTC
12.03.2023 Triestina Triestina 2-0 HT 1-0 Pro Patria Pro Patria İTC
06.11.2022 Pro Patria Pro Patria 2-1 HT 2-0 Triestina Triestina İTC
04.05.2022 Triestina Triestina 2-1 HT 1-0 Pro Patria Pro Patria İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Triestina
1-0
AWAY Pro Patria
57% Ball Possession 43%
8 Total Shots 6
1 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Triestina vs Pro Patria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Triestina nicked a narrow win over Pro Patria 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Triestina as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Triestina had 57% of the ball to Pro Patria's 43%, shots finished 8-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Triestina had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Triestina and 0.83 for Pro Patria.

What was the final score of Triestina vs Pro Patria?

Triestina 1-0 Pro Patria in the Italy - Serie C on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Triestina vs Pro Patria?

Before kick-off our model rated a Triestina win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Triestina 50%, draw 28%, Pro Patria 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Triestina), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Triestina) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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