Mirassol FC vs Bragantino Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Mirassol FC v Bragantino — Team-Based Signals
Mirassol FC vs Bragantino Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Mirassol FC
BRPL1
3-1
HT 1-0
Bragantino
BREPAU
Mirassol FC
BREPAU
2-3
HT 2-1
Bragantino
BRK
Mirassol FC 0-1 Bragantino — Actual Match Statistics
Bragantino squeezed past Mirassol FC 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Mirassol FC at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, Mirassol FC had 54% of the ball to Bragantino's 46%, shots finished 15-16, expected goals 0.68 to 1.96 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Bragantino's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bragantino led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Mirassol FC and 1.33 for Bragantino.
What was the final score of Mirassol FC vs Bragantino?
Mirassol FC 0-1 Bragantino in the Brazil - Serie A on 06/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Mirassol FC vs Bragantino?
Before kick-off our model rated a Mirassol FC win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Mirassol FC 50%, draw 23%, Bragantino 27%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.