Athletic Club 1-1 America Mineiro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 6 Apr 2026

📅06/04/2026 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.33
Draw
27%
2.94
Away
34%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.6
Over 2.5
45%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.9
No
49%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.44
2-3 Goals
40%
1.7
4-5 Goals
22%
4.3
6+ Goals
9%
23.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
39%
-0.5pp
27%
Draw
30%
-3.5pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+4.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
59%
-3.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
41%
+3.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.5pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Athletic Club EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY America Mineiro EU Bookmakers 34%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -8%
1.20/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.21
-5% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -9%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
272 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 77%
20.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.7
22.5 Crosses 18.7
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Athletic Club
1W-2D-2L
AWAY America Mineiro
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.93 xG 1.27
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 6
302 Passes 328
80% Pass Accuracy 81%
20 Box Touches 19
18 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
25.10.2025 Athletic Club Athletic Club 0-2 HT 0-0 America Mineiro America Mineiro BR2
08.07.2025 America Mineiro America Mineiro 0-1 HT 0-1 Athletic Club Athletic Club BR2
08.02.2023 Athletic Club Athletic Club 1-1 HT 0-1 America Mineiro America Mineiro BRM1
06.02.2022 America Mineiro America Mineiro 1-1 HT 1-0 Athletic Club Athletic Club BRM1
04.03.2021 Athletic Club Athletic Club 0-1 HT 0-0 America Mineiro America Mineiro BRM1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Athletic Club
1-1
AWAY America Mineiro
1.44 xG 1.95
35% Ball Possession 65%
10 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
217 Passes 437
78% Pass Accuracy 86%
15 Box Touches 33
8 Crosses 39
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Athletic Club vs America Mineiro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Athletic Club and America Mineiro shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (39% / 27% / 34%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Athletic Club had 35% of the ball to America Mineiro's 65%, shots finished 10-20, expected goals 1.44 to 1.95.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, America Mineiro led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Athletic Club and 1.00 for America Mineiro.

What was the final score of Athletic Club vs America Mineiro?

Athletic Club 1-1 America Mineiro in the Brazil - Serie B on 06/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Athletic Club vs America Mineiro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Athletic Club win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Athletic Club 39%, draw 27%, America Mineiro 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Athletic Club) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Athletic Club) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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