Novorizontino 1-1 CRB — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 6 Apr 2026

📅06/04/2026 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.92
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
24%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.71
Over 2.5
43%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.72
2-3 Goals
38%
1.7
4-5 Goals
20%
3.8
6+ Goals
9%
17.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.72 — our 33% vs market 29.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
48%
+0.1pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.7pp
24%
Away Win
24%
-0.8pp
57%
Under 2.5
55%
+2.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
45%
-2.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-1.7pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Novorizontino EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY CRB EU Bookmakers 28%
-3% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -3%
1.42/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.32
+14% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -21%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
331 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 75%
20.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.8
26.4 Crosses 19.6
1.9 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Novorizontino
3W-0D-3L
AWAY CRB
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.42 xG 1.10
46% Ball Possession 55%
18 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
245 Passes 308
75% Pass Accuracy 75%
20 Box Touches 16
24 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
23.11.2025 Novorizontino Novorizontino 3-0 HT 2-0 CRB CRB BR2
27.07.2025 CRB CRB 4-0 HT 1-0 Novorizontino Novorizontino BR2
12.08.2024 CRB CRB 0-1 HT 0-0 Novorizontino Novorizontino BR2
20.04.2024 Novorizontino Novorizontino 2-1 HT 0-1 CRB CRB BR2
27.08.2023 CRB CRB 1-0 HT 1-0 Novorizontino Novorizontino BR2
13.05.2023 Novorizontino Novorizontino 0-1 HT 0-0 CRB CRB BR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Novorizontino
1-1
AWAY CRB
43% Ball Possession 57%
19 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 1
301 Passes 450
85% Pass Accuracy 88%
POST-MATCH Novorizontino vs CRB
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Novorizontino and CRB couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Novorizontino at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Novorizontino had 43% of the ball to CRB's 57%, shots finished 19-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Novorizontino and 1.17 for CRB.

What was the final score of Novorizontino vs CRB?

Novorizontino 1-1 CRB in the Brazil - Serie B on 06/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Novorizontino vs CRB?

Before kick-off our model rated a Novorizontino win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Novorizontino 48%, draw 28%, CRB 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Novorizontino), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Novorizontino) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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