Novorizontino 3-0 CRB — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 23 Nov 2025

📅23/11/2025 · 🕒01:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.72
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
24%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.74
Over 2.5
48%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.96
No
51%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
2.78
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
3.87
6+ Goals
9%
17.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.78 — our 30% vs market 29.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
19%
X/2
6%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
54%
-1.7pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.1pp
24%
Away Win
20%
+4.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
54%
-1.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
46%
+1.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.7pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Novorizontino EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY CRB EU Bookmakers 22%
-4% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -7%
1.41/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.39
-3% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -16%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
326 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 74%
20.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
26.3 Crosses 19.4
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Novorizontino
2W-0D-4L
AWAY CRB
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.08 xG 1.21
49% Ball Possession 51%
17 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
258 Passes 275
74% Pass Accuracy 74%
19 Box Touches 16
23 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
27.07.2025 CRB CRB 4-0 HT 1-0 Novorizontino Novorizontino BR2
12.08.2024 CRB CRB 0-1 HT 0-0 Novorizontino Novorizontino BR2
20.04.2024 Novorizontino Novorizontino 2-1 HT 0-1 CRB CRB BR2
27.08.2023 CRB CRB 1-0 HT 1-0 Novorizontino Novorizontino BR2
13.05.2023 Novorizontino Novorizontino 0-1 HT 0-0 CRB CRB BR2
24.07.2022 CRB CRB 2-1 HT 2-0 Novorizontino Novorizontino BR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Novorizontino
3-0
AWAY CRB
3.27 xG 0.65
37% Ball Possession 63%
17 Total Shots 16
10 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 12
252 Passes 455
82% Pass Accuracy 86%
23 Box Touches 19
22 Crosses 31
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Novorizontino vs CRB
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Novorizontino swept aside CRB 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Novorizontino as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Novorizontino had 37% of the ball to CRB's 63%, shots finished 17-16, expected goals 3.27 to 0.65.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, CRB led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Novorizontino and 1.50 for CRB.

What was the final score of Novorizontino vs CRB?

Novorizontino 3-0 CRB in the Brazil - Serie B on 23/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Novorizontino vs CRB?

Before kick-off our model rated a Novorizontino win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Novorizontino 53%, draw 23%, CRB 24%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Novorizontino), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Novorizontino) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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