Chapecoense 1-0 Atletico Goianiense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 23 Nov 2025

Chapecoense
1-0 HT 1-0
Atletico Goianiense
📅23/11/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Brazil - Serie B – 2025

Chapecoense vs Atletico Goianiense Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.42
Draw
28%
3.94
Away
17%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.64
Over 2.5
50%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
2.51
No
40%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2.53
2-3 Goals
45%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
4.29
6+ Goals
10%
22.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
4%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
5%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
66%
-10.9pp
28%
Draw
22%
+6.0pp
17%
Away Win
12%
+4.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
57%
-7.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
43%
+7.1pp
60%
BTTS Yes
36%
+23.8pp
40%
BTTS No
64%
-23.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Chapecoense v Atletico Goianiense — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chapecoense EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Goianiense EU Bookmakers 15%
-2% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +10%
1.47/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.92
-10% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +9%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
343 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 77%
21.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.1
24.2 Crosses 15.5
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.7

Chapecoense vs Atletico Goianiense Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chapecoense
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Atletico Goianiense
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.73 xG 0.97
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
250 Passes 394
76% Pass Accuracy 82%
14 Box Touches 17
18 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
28.07.2025 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense 0-0 HT 0-0 Chapecoense Chapecoense BR2
13.08.2023 Chapecoense Chapecoense 0-1 HT 0-0 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense BR2
03.05.2023 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense 2-1 HT 1-0 Chapecoense Chapecoense BR2
04.12.2021 Chapecoense Chapecoense 0-1 HT 0-0 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense BR1
21.08.2021 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense 1-1 HT 0-1 Chapecoense Chapecoense BR1
19.11.2017 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense 1-1 HT 0-1 Chapecoense Chapecoense BR1

Chapecoense 1-0 Atletico Goianiense — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chapecoense
1-0
AWAY Atletico Goianiense
1.37 xG 0.53
31% Ball Possession 69%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
181 Passes 505
73% Pass Accuracy 90%
17 Box Touches 13
12 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Chapecoense vs Atletico Goianiense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chapecoense nicked a narrow win over Atletico Goianiense 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Chapecoense as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Chapecoense had 31% of the ball to Atletico Goianiense's 69%, shots finished 12-12, expected goals 1.37 to 0.53.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Goianiense led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Chapecoense and 1.00 for Atletico Goianiense.

What was the final score of Chapecoense vs Atletico Goianiense?

Chapecoense 1-0 Atletico Goianiense in the Brazil - Serie B on 23/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chapecoense vs Atletico Goianiense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chapecoense win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Chapecoense 55%, draw 28%, Atletico Goianiense 17%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chapecoense) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Chapecoense) ✗ BTTS Yes
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