Athletic Club 2-1 Paysandu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 23 Nov 2025

Athletic Club
2-1 HT 0-1
Paysandu
📅23/11/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Brazil - Serie B – 2025

Athletic Club vs Paysandu Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.47
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
23%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.71
Over 2.5
48%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
2.27
No
47%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.7
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
3.99
6+ Goals
10%
18.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
24%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
64%
-10.2pp
23%
Draw
22%
+0.8pp
24%
Away Win
14%
+9.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
55%
-2.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
45%
+2.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
40%
+12.9pp
47%
BTTS No
60%
-12.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Athletic Club v Paysandu — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Athletic Club EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Paysandu EU Bookmakers 17%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +6%
1.68/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.45
+26% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -6%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
338 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 75%
27.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.5
24.0 Crosses 15.3
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.4

Athletic Club vs Paysandu Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Athletic Club
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Paysandu
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.63 xG 0.95
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
325 Passes 262
83% Pass Accuracy 78%
25 Box Touches 20
16 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
29.07.2025 Paysandu Paysandu 1-1 HT 1-1 Athletic Club BR2

Athletic Club 2-1 Paysandu — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Athletic Club
2-1
AWAY Paysandu
2.94 xG 0.27
66% Ball Possession 34%
17 Total Shots 6
9 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 1
399 Passes 174
84% Pass Accuracy 77%
33 Box Touches 4
51 Crosses 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Athletic Club vs Paysandu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Athletic Club edged past Paysandu 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had Athletic Club as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Athletic Club had 66% of the ball to Paysandu's 34%, shots finished 17-6, expected goals 2.94 to 0.27 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Athletic Club's control.

What was the final score of Athletic Club vs Paysandu?

Athletic Club 2-1 Paysandu in the Brazil - Serie B on 23/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Athletic Club vs Paysandu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Athletic Club win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Athletic Club 54%, draw 23%, Paysandu 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Athletic Club), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Athletic Club) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BR2 More Brazil - Serie B
23 Nov 2025
01:30 Novorizontino vs CRB Analysis →
22:30 Atletico Paranaense vs America Mineiro Analysis →
22:30 Remo vs Goias Analysis →
22:30 Chapecoense vs Atletico Goianiense Analysis →
22:30 Amazonas vs Coritiba Analysis →
22:30 Botafogo SP vs Avai Analysis →