Atletico Paranaense vs America Mineiro Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Atletico Paranaense v America Mineiro — Team-Based Signals
Atletico Paranaense vs America Mineiro Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-2
HT 3-1
America Mineiro
BR1
2-2
HT 0-1
Atletico Paranaense
BR1
1-1
HT 1-0
America Mineiro
BR1
1-0
HT 0-0
Atletico Paranaense
BR1
2-0
HT 0-0
Atletico Paranaense
BR1
Atletico Paranaense 1-0 America Mineiro — Actual Match Statistics
Atletico Paranaense edged past America Mineiro 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Atletico Paranaense as the likeliest winner at 69%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.
On the day, Atletico Paranaense had 48% of the ball to America Mineiro's 52%, shots finished 14-9, expected goals 1.30 to 0.94.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, America Mineiro led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Atletico Paranaense and 1.67 for America Mineiro.
What was the final score of Atletico Paranaense vs America Mineiro?
Atletico Paranaense 1-0 America Mineiro in the Brazil - Serie B on 23/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Atletico Paranaense vs America Mineiro?
Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Paranaense win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Atletico Paranaense 69%, draw 19%, America Mineiro 12%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Paranaense), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.