Amazonas 1-2 Coritiba — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 23 Nov 2025

📅23/11/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.17
Draw
25%
3.04
Away
42%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.56
Over 2.5
44%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.99
No
49%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.35
2-3 Goals
44%
1.75
4-5 Goals
18%
4.72
6+ Goals
7%
27.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
23%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
28%
+5.1pp
25%
Draw
29%
-3.7pp
42%
Away Win
43%
-1.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
60%
-4.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
40%
+4.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
46%
+4.3pp
49%
BTTS No
54%
-4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Amazonas EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Coritiba EU Bookmakers 48%
+15% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +22%
1.12/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.55/0.58
+12% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +150%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
252 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 372 · 81%
19.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.7
20.4 Crosses 11.1
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Amazonas
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Coritiba
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.27 xG 0.58
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
260 Passes 345
78% Pass Accuracy 82%
14 Box Touches 12
16 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
27.07.2025 Coritiba Coritiba 1-1 HT 1-0 Amazonas Amazonas BR2
13.10.2024 Coritiba Coritiba 3-1 Amazonas Amazonas BR2
26.06.2024 Amazonas Amazonas 1-0 HT 0-0 Coritiba Coritiba BR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Amazonas
1-2
AWAY Coritiba
0.88 xG 0.99
70% Ball Possession 30%
16 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 6
394 Passes 135
88% Pass Accuracy 68%
25 Box Touches 17
33 Crosses 13
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Amazonas vs Coritiba
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Coritiba edged past Amazonas 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Coritiba as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Amazonas had 70% of the ball to Coritiba's 30%, shots finished 16-11, expected goals 0.88 to 0.99.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Amazonas and 1.33 for Coritiba.

What was the final score of Amazonas vs Coritiba?

Amazonas 1-2 Coritiba in the Brazil - Serie B on 23/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Amazonas vs Coritiba?

Before kick-off our model rated an Coritiba win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Amazonas 33%, draw 25%, Coritiba 42%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Coritiba), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Coritiba) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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