Motagua 3-1 Genesis PN — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 6 Apr 2026

📅06/04/2026 · 🕒02:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.37
Draw
19%
4.62
Away
17%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.18
Over 2.5
57%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.81
No
44%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
5%
X/X
11%
2/1
13%
2/2
6%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
69%
-5.1pp
20%
Draw
19%
+1.0pp
17%
Away Win
13%
+3.9pp
43%
Under 2.5
42%
+0.9pp
57%
Over 2.5
58%
-0.9pp
56%
BTTS Yes
51%
+4.9pp
44%
BTTS No
49%
-4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Motagua EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Genesis PN EU Bookmakers 16%
-3% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +8%
2.43/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/1.75
+17% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +19%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
352 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Motagua
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Genesis PN
3.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
12.02.2026 Genesis PN 0-5 HT 0-0 Motagua Motagua HON
05.10.2025 Motagua Motagua 4-3 HT 3-1 Genesis PN HON
08.05.2025 Genesis PN 1-4 HT 1-1 Motagua Motagua HON
03.02.2025 Genesis PN 1-1 HT 0-1 Motagua Motagua HON
11.11.2024 Motagua Motagua 2-1 HT 2-0 Genesis PN HON
15.09.2024 Genesis PN 0-3 HT 0-0 Motagua Motagua HON
POST-MATCH Motagua vs Genesis PN
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Motagua got the better of Genesis PN 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Motagua as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Motagua had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.17 goals for Motagua and 1.00 for Genesis PN.

What was the final score of Motagua vs Genesis PN?

Motagua 3-1 Genesis PN in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 06/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Motagua vs Genesis PN?

Before kick-off our model rated a Motagua win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Motagua 64%, draw 20%, Genesis PN 17%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Motagua), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Motagua) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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