CD Victoria 3-2 Lobos UPNFM — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 6 Apr 2026

📅06/04/2026 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.02
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
33%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.86
Over 2.5
50%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.73
No
47%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
46%
-4.2pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.0pp
32%
Away Win
28%
+4.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
50%
-0.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
50%
+0.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
54%
-0.6pp
47%
BTTS No
46%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Victoria EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Lobos UPNFM EU Bookmakers 32%
-14% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -6%
1.07/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.77
-23% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -30%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
305 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CD Victoria
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Lobos UPNFM
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
13.02.2026 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM 2-2 HT 2-2 CD Victoria CD Victoria HON
26.10.2025 CD Victoria CD Victoria 0-1 HT 0-0 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM HON
17.08.2025 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM 2-0 HT 1-0 CD Victoria CD Victoria HON
03.04.2025 CD Victoria CD Victoria 0-0 HT 0-0 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM HON
04.02.2025 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM 1-1 HT 1-0 CD Victoria CD Victoria HON
03.11.2024 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM 1-1 HT 0-0 CD Victoria CD Victoria HON
POST-MATCH CD Victoria vs Lobos UPNFM
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Victoria edged past Lobos UPNFM 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had CD Victoria as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lobos UPNFM led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for CD Victoria and 1.17 for Lobos UPNFM.

What was the final score of CD Victoria vs Lobos UPNFM?

CD Victoria 3-2 Lobos UPNFM in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 06/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Victoria vs Lobos UPNFM?

Before kick-off our model rated a CD Victoria win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split CD Victoria 41%, draw 26%, Lobos UPNFM 32%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CD Victoria), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (CD Victoria) ✓ BTTS Yes
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