Lobos UPNFM 2-2 CD Victoria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 13 Feb 2026

📅13/02/2026 · 🕒02:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.02
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
32%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.78
Over 2.5
47%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
16%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
46%
-6.9pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.7pp
32%
Away Win
27%
+5.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.2pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lobos UPNFM EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Victoria EU Bookmakers 30%
+6% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -15%
1.66/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.53
+22% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -12%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
342 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lobos UPNFM
2W-3D-1L
AWAY CD Victoria
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
26.10.2025 CD Victoria CD Victoria 0-1 HT 0-0 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM HON
17.08.2025 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM 2-0 HT 1-0 CD Victoria CD Victoria HON
03.04.2025 CD Victoria CD Victoria 0-0 HT 0-0 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM HON
04.02.2025 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM 1-1 HT 1-0 CD Victoria CD Victoria HON
03.11.2024 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM 1-1 HT 0-0 CD Victoria CD Victoria HON
26.08.2024 CD Victoria CD Victoria 2-1 HT 1-0 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM HON
POST-MATCH Lobos UPNFM vs CD Victoria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lobos UPNFM and CD Victoria shared the points in a 2-2 draw.

Our pre-match split (39% / 29% / 32%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lobos UPNFM had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Lobos UPNFM and 0.67 for CD Victoria.

What was the final score of Lobos UPNFM vs CD Victoria?

Lobos UPNFM 2-2 CD Victoria in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 13/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lobos UPNFM vs CD Victoria?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lobos UPNFM win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Lobos UPNFM 39%, draw 29%, CD Victoria 32%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Lobos UPNFM) ✗ Under 2.5
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