CD Victoria 0-1 Lobos UPNFM — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 26 Oct 2025

📅26/10/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.47
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
34%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
1.97
Over 2.5
61%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.61
No
41%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
36%
+5.5pp
24%
Draw
28%
-3.3pp
34%
Away Win
36%
-2.2pp
39%
Under 2.5
47%
-7.8pp
61%
Over 2.5
53%
+7.8pp
59%
BTTS Yes
58%
+0.7pp
41%
BTTS No
42%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Victoria EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Lobos UPNFM EU Bookmakers 40%
+9% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -1%
1.46/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.93
+14% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / -47%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
315 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 405 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CD Victoria
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Lobos UPNFM
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
17.08.2025 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM 2-0 HT 1-0 CD Victoria CD Victoria HON
03.04.2025 CD Victoria CD Victoria 0-0 HT 0-0 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM HON
04.02.2025 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM 1-1 HT 1-0 CD Victoria CD Victoria HON
03.11.2024 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM 1-1 HT 0-0 CD Victoria CD Victoria HON
26.08.2024 CD Victoria CD Victoria 2-1 HT 1-0 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM HON
20.04.2024 CD Victoria CD Victoria 0-1 HT 0-0 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM HON
POST-MATCH CD Victoria vs Lobos UPNFM
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lobos UPNFM edged past CD Victoria 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was CD Victoria at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lobos UPNFM led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for CD Victoria and 1.00 for Lobos UPNFM.

What was the final score of CD Victoria vs Lobos UPNFM?

CD Victoria 0-1 Lobos UPNFM in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 26/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Victoria vs Lobos UPNFM?

Before kick-off our model rated a CD Victoria win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split CD Victoria 42%, draw 24%, Lobos UPNFM 34%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (CD Victoria) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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