Marathon vs Motagua Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Marathon v Motagua — Team-Based Signals
Marathon vs Motagua Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Marathon nicked a narrow win over Motagua 1-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 26% / 34% — and on the day Marathon made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Marathon had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Marathon and 1.33 for Motagua.
What was the final score of Marathon vs Motagua?
Marathon 1-0 Motagua in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 26/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Marathon vs Motagua?
Before kick-off our model rated a Marathon win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Marathon 40%, draw 26%, Motagua 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Marathon) — a clean sweep of the main markets.